2 census tracts · pop 6,458 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10
· range 3.4–3.4
Townes of Burke takes in 2 census tracts of Burke, VA and houses 6,458 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.4/10, in the Lower tier. 43% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Burke rate of 24.7%.
The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10. The voucher gap is 26.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Severe burden reaches 22%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
Sitting well above the midpoint is supply constraint at 7.5/10. Filings are well documented here: 22 across 2 observed tracts. SNAP participation is 4.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
3.7% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Well under the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.9/10.
The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 8.2% of renter households. Among the 6 mapped neighborhoods of Burke, it ranks #4 by risk, the lower third.
Judgments average 2.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
With little internal variation, 3.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Townes of Burke vs BurkeHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority49%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport2%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Townes of Burke
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
22Total filings (sum)
4.47%Avg annual filing rate
8.2%Peak year (2016)
5.80%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Townes of Burke
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.0%Housing insecurity
3.7%Utility shutoff threat
6.7%Food insecurity
4.1%SNAP enrollment
5.9%No health insurance
21.5%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Townes of Burke
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Townes of Burke?
Townes of Burke scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Townes of Burke compare to Burke overall?
Townes of Burke scores 0.6 points lower than Burke overall (4/10). Renters spend 43% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,918 vs $2,894.
Q3
What is the average rent in Townes of Burke?
Average gross rent in Townes of Burke eviction risk is $2,918/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Townes of Burke residents are renters?
7% of Townes of Burke households are renter-occupied (vs 10% in Burke). The neighborhood has 6,458 residents.
Q5
Is Townes of Burke a high social-vulnerability area?
Townes of Burke sits in the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Townes of Burke have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Townes of Burke is census tract 51059431802 (score 3.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 3.4, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Townes of Burke for landlords?
Townes of Burke eviction risk carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Burke as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Townes of Burke?
Townes of Burke has 6,390 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (13.2%), Hispanic / Latino (13.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
