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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,320 of 84,120 nationally

West McLean Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 51059470600 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,817 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Census tract 51059470600 sits in the West McLean neighborhood of McLean, Virginia. It has a population of 2,817 and an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). 63% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 50% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $584/month against a median household income of $233,438 — roughly 3% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 8% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,097
Renter share22.2%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate8.5%
Median income$233,438

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank — 50th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 1 tracts In West McLean
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank — 67th percentileBottomTop
#5 of 13 tracts In McLean
Elevated
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank — 59th percentileBottomTop
#112 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Elevated
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank — 66th percentileBottomTop
#738 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across McLean and the region

Centroid at 38.9358, -77.1937 · click any tract to drill in

Why West McLean scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from McLean
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.5% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$584 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from McLean
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from McLean
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from McLean
4.1

How West McLean compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
West McLean risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 470600McLean: 4.24.2McLeanparent cityCounty: 5.45.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.35.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 13Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 1.37%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.1%Peak (2013)
  • 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 — 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594706002011: 4 filings (1.69/100 renter HHs)2012: 2 filings (0.84/100 renter HHs)2013: 5 filings (2.11/100 renter HHs)2016: 2 filings (0.82/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059470600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059470600?

Census tract 51059470600 in the West McLean neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059470600?

Median gross rent is $584/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059470600?

8.5% of residents in tract 51059470600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,817.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059470600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 35th, minority 52th, housing 50th.

Q5

Is tract 51059470600 considered part of West McLean?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059470600 fall within West McLean (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059470600?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 13 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059470600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.37% of renter households, peaking at 2.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 51059470600 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 51059470600 compare to McLean overall?

Tract 51059470600 scores 5.6/10 — higher than the parent city of McLean at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McLean eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in McLean

Top eight tracts in McLean ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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