Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Broyhill-Glen Gary Park Eviction Risk: Lower , McLean
Tract 51059470700 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,662 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 51059470700 covers part of the Broyhill-Glen Gary Park area of McLean, VA, and scores 3.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,874
Renter share12.5%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$250,001
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across McLean and the region
Centroid at 38.9222, -77.1703 · click any tract to drill in
Why Broyhill-Glen Gary Park scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from McLean
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from McLean
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from McLean
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from McLean
4.1
How Broyhill-Glen Gary Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 0%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 56%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 12Total filings over 4 yrs
- 1.13%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.9%Peak (2012)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 67% over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.4%Housing insecurity
- 2.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.8%Food insecurity
- 2.8%SNAP enrollment
- 3.3%Transit barriers
- 3.8%No health insurance
- 10.2%Frequent mental distress
- 19.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Broyhill-Glen Gary Park
The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. 19% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.4/10. Food insecurity runs 4.8% against 17.8% nationally.
It sits 0.9 points below the Fairfax County average of 4.3. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 12 filings here across 4 tracked years.
Adults with no health insurance runs 3.8% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2012 at 1.9% of renter households.
In a typical year about 1.1% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059470700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059470700?
Census tract 51059470700 in the Broyhill-Glen Gary Park neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059470700?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059470700?
2.0% of residents in tract 51059470700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,662.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059470700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 39th, minority 56th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 51059470700 considered part of Broyhill-Glen Gary Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059470700 fall within Broyhill-Glen Gary Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059470700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 12 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059470700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.13% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059470700 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059470700 compare to McLean overall?
Tract 51059470700 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of McLean at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McLean eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in McLean
Top eight tracts in McLean ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
West McLean
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Clearview Manor
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Ingleside
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Westhampton
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Chain Bridge Forest
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Evermay
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Southridge
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Franklin Forest
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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