Evermay Eviction Risk: Lower , McLean
Tract 51059470400 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,142 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 51059470400 sits in the Evermay area of McLean eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. It is home to 5,142 residents. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across McLean and the region
Centroid at 38.9362, -77.1541 · click any tract to drill in
Why Evermay scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Evermay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 5
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 40%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 5Total filings over 3 yrs
- 1.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.2%Peak (2013)
- 2Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.0%Housing insecurity
- 2.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 4.3%Food insecurity
- 2.5%SNAP enrollment
- 3.1%Transit barriers
- 3.7%No health insurance
- 10.1%Frequent mental distress
- 19.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Evermay
The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. 27% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Fairfax County average of 41.0%.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.4/10.
Food insecurity runs 4.3% against 17.8% nationally. 13% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Housing insecurity runs 4.0% against 14.2% nationally.
Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. The filing record is not thin: 5 evictions over 3 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 1.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51059470400
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059470400?
What is the average rent in tract 51059470400?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059470400?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059470400?
Is tract 51059470400 considered part of Evermay?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059470400?
What share of households in tract 51059470400 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059470400 compare to McLean overall?
Highest-risk tracts in McLean
Top eight tracts in McLean ranked by composite eviction-risk score.