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Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

Ingleside Eviction Risk: Lower , McLean

Tract 51059470500 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,418 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

51059470500 is a census tract in the Ingleside area of McLean, VA. It scores 3.5/10 for landlords. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 15% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,142
Renter share22.0%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate4.5%
Median income$209,833

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Ingleside
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 13 tracts In McLean
Elevated
Within county
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#195 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#1,425 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across McLean and the region

Centroid at 38.9451, -77.1814 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ingleside scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from McLean
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.5% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from McLean
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from McLean
3.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from McLean
4.1

How Ingleside compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ingleside risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.53.5This tracttract 470500McLean: 4.04.0McLeanparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.24.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 13Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 0.58%Avg annual filing rate
  • 0.7%Peak (2011)
  • 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 510594705002011: 4 filings (0.68/100 renter HHs)2012: 3 filings (0.51/100 renter HHs)2013: 2 filings (0.34/100 renter HHs)2016: 4 filings (0.77/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ingleside

The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10. Cost burden runs 31% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.4/10. SNAP participation runs 3.0% against 15.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

The filing record is not thin: 13 evictions over 4 years of observation. It sits 0.8 points below the Fairfax County average of 4.3.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2011, when 0.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 0.6% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51059470500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059470500?

Census tract 51059470500 in the Ingleside neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51059470500?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51059470500?

4.5% of residents in tract 51059470500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,418.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51059470500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 76th, minority 61th, housing 31th.
Q5

Is tract 51059470500 considered part of Ingleside?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059470500 fall within Ingleside (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059470500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 13 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059470500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.58% of renter households, peaking at 0.7% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51059470500 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51059470500 compare to McLean overall?

Tract 51059470500 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of McLean at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McLean eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in McLean

Top eight tracts in McLean ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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