Chain Bridge Forest Eviction Risk: Lower , McLean

The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10.

Severe burden reaches 25%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.4/10.

The filing record is not thin: 2 evictions over 2 years of observation. Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.9% against 11.3% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2012, when 3.5% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #57,812 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 3% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.