Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally
McLean Hamlet Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51059480204 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,658 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
51059480204 is a census tract in the McLean Hamlet area of Tysons, VA. It scores 5.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,658 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 52%
Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units2,109
Renter share83.5%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$123,456
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across McLean and the region
Centroid at 38.9299, -77.2230 · click any tract to drill in
Why McLean Hamlet scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from McLean
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,327 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from McLean
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from McLean
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from McLean
3.9
How McLean Hamlet compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 28%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within McLean Hamlet. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.0%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.2%Food insecurity
- 3.5%SNAP enrollment
- 4.2%Transit barriers
- 5.0%No health insurance
- 12.1%Frequent mental distress
- 16.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in McLean Hamlet
83% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.4/10.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10. It sits 1.6 points above the Fairfax County average of 4.3.
SNAP participation runs 3.5% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 6.2% against 17.8% nationally.
The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059480204
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059480204?
Census tract 51059480204 in the McLean Hamlet neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059480204?
Median gross rent is $2,327/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059480204?
6.2% of residents in tract 51059480204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,658.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059480204?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 7th, minority 73th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 51059480204 considered part of McLean Hamlet?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059480204 fall within McLean Hamlet (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51059480204 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51059480204 compare to McLean overall?
Tract 51059480204 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of McLean at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from McLean eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in McLean
Top eight tracts in McLean ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ash Grove
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Old Courthouse
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Olney Park
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Olney Park
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Tysons Green
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Olney Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Old Courthouse
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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