McLean Hamlet Eviction Risk: Lower

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.4/10. Housing insecurity runs 3.8% against 14.2% nationally.

10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 0.9 points below the Fairfax County average of 4.3.

The filing record is not thin: 5 evictions over 3 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 3.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #59,654 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.