Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Old Courthouse Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tysons
Tract 51059460501 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,515 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
51059460501 is a census tract in the Old Courthouse area of Tysons, VA. It scores 5.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,515 residents. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units912
Renter share8.8%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$209,231
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tysons and the region
Centroid at 38.9101, -77.2335 · click any tract to drill in
Why Old Courthouse scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tysons
8.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,500 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tysons
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tysons
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tysons
3.9
How Old Courthouse compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 6%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 4Total filings over 3 yrs
- 1.29%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.6%Peak (2011)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Old Courthouse. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.5%Housing insecurity
- 2.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.2%Food insecurity
- 2.9%SNAP enrollment
- 3.4%Transit barriers
- 4.3%No health insurance
- 10.1%Frequent mental distress
- 19.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Old Courthouse
The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.8/10.
Average gross rent is $3,500, 40% above the Tysons average. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Cost burden runs 51% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.
SNAP participation runs 2.9% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 4.5% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 1.0 points above the Fairfax County average of 4.3.
The filing record is not thin: 4 evictions over 3 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2011, when 1.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.3% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059460501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059460501?
Census tract 51059460501 in the Old Courthouse neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059460501?
Median gross rent is $3,500/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059460501?
2.6% of residents in tract 51059460501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,515.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059460501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 41th, minority 60th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 51059460501 considered part of Old Courthouse?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059460501 fall within Old Courthouse (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059460501?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 51059460501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.29% of renter households, peaking at 1.6% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059460501 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059460501 compare to Tysons overall?
Tract 51059460501 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Tysons at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tysons eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tysons
Top eight tracts in Tysons ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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