Harvest Green Cluster Eviction Risk: Lower , Herndon
Tract 51059480505 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,129 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
51059480505 is a census tract in the Harvest Green Cluster area of Reston, VA. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,129. Cost burden runs 18% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Herndon and the region
Centroid at 38.9710, -77.3558 · click any tract to drill in
Why Harvest Green Cluster scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Harvest Green Cluster compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 130Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.3%Peak (2012)
- 25Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Harvest Green Cluster. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.6%Housing insecurity
- 3.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.4%Food insecurity
- 3.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.0%Transit barriers
- 4.7%No health insurance
- 12.8%Frequent mental distress
- 17.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Harvest Green Cluster
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.3/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
SNAP participation runs 3.3% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.2/10.
The filing record is not thin: 130 evictions over 4 years of observation. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2012 at 5.3% of renter households.
In a typical year about 4.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.2/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Fairfax County average of 4.3 closely.
Average gross rent is $2,291, close to the Reston average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51059480505
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059480505?
What is the average rent in tract 51059480505?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059480505?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059480505?
Is tract 51059480505 considered part of Harvest Green Cluster?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059480505?
What share of households in tract 51059480505 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059480505 compare to Herndon overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Herndon
Top eight tracts in Herndon ranked by composite eviction-risk score.