Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Sunset Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Reston
Tract 51059482201 ·
Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,702 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 5.3/10, tract 51059482201 in the Sunset Hills area of Reston, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%Stable renters 39%Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units970
Renter share69.3%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$106,538
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 4 tracts In Sunset Hills
Very High
Within parent city
89th percentile
#3 of 19 tracts In Reston
High
Within county
78th percentile
#60 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
High
Within state
83th percentile
#370 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Reston and the region
Centroid at 38.9592, -77.3411 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sunset Hills scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Reston
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,857 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Reston
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Reston
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Reston
3.8
How Sunset Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
72%Socioeconomic
49%Household composition
68%Racial/ethnic minority
35%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
282Total filings over 4 yrs
10.08%Avg annual filing rate
13.7%Peak (2013)
53Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year2011 to 2016
Filings dropped 22% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sunset Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.5%Housing insecurity
7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
11.3%SNAP enrollment
8.3%Transit barriers
11.5%No health insurance
15.2%Frequent mental distress
27.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sunset Hills
This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.2/10. It sits 1.0 points above the Fairfax County average of 4.3.
Average gross rent is $1,857, 17% below the Reston average. Court records carry 282 eviction filings across 4 observed years. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.9/10.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 13.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 10.1% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 67th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. 43% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059482201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059482201?
Census tract 51059482201 in the Sunset Hills neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059482201?
Median gross rent is $1,857/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059482201?
12.0% of residents in tract 51059482201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,702.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059482201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 49th, minority 68th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 51059482201 considered part of Sunset Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059482201 fall within Sunset Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059482201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 282 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059482201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.08% of renter households, peaking at 13.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059482201 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059482201 compare to Reston overall?
Tract 51059482201 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Reston at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Reston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Reston
Top eight tracts in Reston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.