Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Sunset Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Reston
Tract 51059482205 ·
Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,755 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 4.2/10, tract 51059482205 in the Sunset Hills area of Reston, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,755 residents. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%Stable renters 46%Owners 17%
Tract context
Occupied units1,682
Renter share83.0%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$118,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33th percentile
#3 of 4 tracts In Sunset Hills
Low
Within parent city
67th percentile
#7 of 19 tracts In Reston
Elevated
Within county
62th percentile
#104 of 274 tracts In Fairfax County
Elevated
Within state
58th percentile
#919 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Reston and the region
Centroid at 38.9538, -77.3446 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sunset Hills scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Reston
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,394 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Reston
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Reston
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Reston
3.8
How Sunset Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
4%Socioeconomic
6%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
38%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sunset Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.6%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility-shutoff threat
6.3%Food insecurity
3.7%SNAP enrollment
4.5%Transit barriers
5.6%No health insurance
13.3%Frequent mental distress
16.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sunset Hills
This is renter territory: 83% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.2/10.
Housing insecurity runs 6.6% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 45% of renters.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059482205
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059482205?
Census tract 51059482205 in the Sunset Hills neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059482205?
Median gross rent is $2,394/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059482205?
4.0% of residents in tract 51059482205 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,755.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059482205?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 6th, minority 62th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 51059482205 considered part of Sunset Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059482205 fall within Sunset Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51059482205 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51059482205 compare to Reston overall?
Tract 51059482205 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Reston at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Reston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Reston
Top eight tracts in Reston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.