2 census tracts · pop 6,866 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10
· range 3.9–4.7
Harvest Green Cluster is a 2-tract neighborhood of Herndon, VA, population 6,866. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.3/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 7.8/10.
On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.2/10. Cost burden runs 18% against 23.3% citywide, putting Harvest Green Cluster 5.4% under its own city.
Court records carry 201 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. SNAP participation is 4.1% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.8/10.
4.0% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2012, when filings touched 5.3% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 3.0% in 2016, is well off that peak.
At $2,097 a month, rents sit 7% under what the rest of Herndon commands. Against average income of $154,410, annual rent is only 16%, a wide affordability cushion.
Its 2 tracts score within 0.8 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
With little internal variation, 4.3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Harvest Green Cluster vs HerndonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority50%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport24%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Harvest Green Cluster
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
201Total filings (sum)
3.52%Avg annual filing rate
5.3%Peak year (2012)
2.94%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Harvest Green Cluster
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.4%Housing insecurity
4.0%Utility shutoff threat
6.7%Food insecurity
4.2%SNAP enrollment
5.5%No health insurance
18.7%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Harvest Green Cluster
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Harvest Green Cluster?
Harvest Green Cluster scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Harvest Green Cluster compare to Herndon overall?
Harvest Green Cluster scores 0.1 points lower than Herndon overall (4.4/10). Renters spend 18% of income on rent vs 23% citywide. Average rent: $2,097 vs $2,259.
Q3
What is the average rent in Harvest Green Cluster?
Average gross rent in Harvest Green Cluster is $2,097/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Harvest Green Cluster residents are renters?
41% of Harvest Green Cluster households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Herndon). The neighborhood has 6,866 residents.
Q5
Is Harvest Green Cluster a high social-vulnerability area?
Harvest Green Cluster sits in the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Harvest Green Cluster have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Harvest Green Cluster is census tract 51059480802 (score 4.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.9 to 4.7, a spread of 0.8 points.
Q7
How safe is Harvest Green Cluster for landlords?
Harvest Green Cluster carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Herndon as a whole (4.4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Harvest Green Cluster?
Harvest Green Cluster has 6,476 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (13.1%), Hispanic / Latino (10.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.