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Neighborhood · Herndon, VA

Harvest Green Cluster Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 6,866 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 1.5/10 · range 1.2–1.7

Harvest Green Cluster is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Herndon with 2 census tracts and a population of 6,866 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 1.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 18% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 6% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,097/month sits 7% lower than the Herndon citywide average ($2,259).

Risk score
1.5
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Harvest Green Cluster vs Herndon How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
17.9% -23%
Herndon: 23.3%
Average gross rent
$2,097 -7%
Herndon: $2,259
Average HH income
$154,410 +9%
Herndon: $141,418
Poverty rate
8.9% -5%
Herndon: 9.4%
Renter share
40.8% +8%
Herndon: 37.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Harvest Green Cluster and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 1.2–1.7

Why Harvest Green Cluster scores 1.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Rent control risk
18% of income on rent · Range 3.5–4.3 across tracts
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–2.9 across tracts
2.8
Tenant organizing strength
41% renter households · Range 7.7–8.0 across tracts
7.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.8–4.3 across tracts
4.1
Economic stress
8.9% below poverty line · Range 1.3–3.0 across tracts
2.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–4.9 across tracts
4.1
Risk score comparison

Harvest Green Cluster vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Harvest Green Cluster score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Harvest Green Clus: 1.51.5Harvest Green ClusNeighborhoodParent city: 3.43.4Parent cityhost cityState: 3.83.8Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Harvest Green Cluster

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059480802 1.7 3,737 18% $1,934
51059480505 1.2 3,129 18% $2,291
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 11

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 5%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 31%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 50%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 24%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Harvest Green Cluster

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 201Total filings (sum)
  • 3.52%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.3%Peak year (2012)
  • 2.94%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Harvest Green Cluster

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Harvest Green Cluster

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Harvest Green Cluster?

Harvest Green Cluster scores 1.5/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Harvest Green Cluster compare to Herndon overall?

Harvest Green Cluster scores 1.9 points lower than Herndon overall (3.4/10). Renters spend 18% of income on rent vs 23% citywide. Average rent: $2,097 vs $2,259.
Q3

What is the average rent in Harvest Green Cluster?

Average gross rent in Harvest Green Cluster is $2,097/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 18% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Harvest Green Cluster residents are renters?

41% of Harvest Green Cluster households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Herndon). The neighborhood has 6,866 residents.
Q5

Is Harvest Green Cluster a high social-vulnerability area?

Harvest Green Cluster sits in the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Harvest Green Cluster have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Harvest Green Cluster is census tract 51059480802 (score 1.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 1.2 to 1.7, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Harvest Green Cluster for landlords?

Harvest Green Cluster carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (1.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Herndon as a whole (3.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Harvest Green Cluster?

Harvest Green Cluster has 6,476 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (64.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (13.1%), Hispanic / Latino (10.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Harvest Green Cluster

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Herndon

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Harvest Green Cluster.

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