Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally
Deepwood Eviction Risk: Lower , Reston
Tract 51059482302 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,528 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 5.8/10, tract 51059482302 in the Deepwood neighborhood of Reston ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,528 residents. On the national scale it ranks #28,080 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
63% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,887 a month against an average household income of $77,986 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 56% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,752
Renter share55.7%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate13.9%
Median income$77,986
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Reston and the region
Centroid at 38.9367, -77.3547 · click any tract to drill in
Why Deepwood scores 2.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Reston
7.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
13.9% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,887 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Reston
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Reston
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Reston
3.8
How Deepwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 352Total filings over 4 yrs
- 8.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.3%Peak (2016)
- 101Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Deepwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.4%Housing insecurity
- 10.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.3%Food insecurity
- 16.4%SNAP enrollment
- 10.8%Transit barriers
- 14.1%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 28.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Deepwood
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Reston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 352 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 8.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.3% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059482302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059482302?
Census tract 51059482302 in the Deepwood neighborhood scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059482302?
Median gross rent is $1,887/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059482302?
13.9% of residents in tract 51059482302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,528.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059482302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 36th, minority 80th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 51059482302 considered part of Deepwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059482302 fall within Deepwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059482302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 352 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059482302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.47% of renter households, peaking at 9.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059482302 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059482302 compare to Reston overall?
Tract 51059482302 scores 2.9/10, lower than the parent city of Reston at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Reston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Reston
Top eight tracts in Reston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Lake Anne Village
2.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Sunset Hills
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Lake Anne Village
2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · VA
Halley Rise
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Sunset Hills
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Sunset Hills
1.4
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Colvin's Glen
1.3
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · VA
Pinecrest
1.2
/ 10 · Very Low
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