Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Uniontown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Centreville
Tract 51059491301 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 6,562 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 51059491301 covers part of the Uniontown area of Fairfax County, VA, and scores 4.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,562. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.6/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,989
Renter share20.1%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$176,049
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Centreville and the region
Centroid at 38.8153, -77.4689 · click any tract to drill in
Why Uniontown scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Centreville
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$2,259 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Centreville
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Centreville
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Centreville
5.0
How Uniontown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 30%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 222Total filings over 4 yrs
- 8.76%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.5%Peak (2012)
- 48Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Uniontown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.2%Food insecurity
- 6.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 7.5%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 21.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Uniontown
Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10.
SNAP participation runs 6.2% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 222 eviction filings across 4 observed years.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.1/10. Food insecurity runs 10.2% against 17.8% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 10.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.9/10.
Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $176,049, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
38% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059491301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059491301?
Census tract 51059491301 in the Uniontown neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059491301?
Median gross rent is $2,259/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059491301?
6.3% of residents in tract 51059491301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,562.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059491301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 50th, minority 69th, housing 20th.
Q5
Is tract 51059491301 considered part of Uniontown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059491301 fall within Uniontown (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059491301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 222 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059491301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.76% of renter households, peaking at 10.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059491301 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059491301 compare to Centreville overall?
Tract 51059491301 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Centreville at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Centreville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Centreville
Top eight tracts in Centreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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