Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Uniontown Eviction Risk: Lower , Centreville
Tract 51059491403 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,107 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 3.5/10, tract 51059491403 in the Uniontown area of Centreville, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,107 residents. 37% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,228
Renter share5.1%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate2.0%
Median income$250,001
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
31
th percentile
Low
Within county
30
th percentile
Low
Within state
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Centreville and the region
Centroid at 38.8221, -77.4259 · click any tract to drill in
Why Uniontown scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Centreville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
2.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,344 rent vs county FMR
9.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Centreville
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Centreville
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Centreville
5.2
How Uniontown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 0%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 7Total filings over 3 yrs
- 2.37%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2011)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 75% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Uniontown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.2%Housing insecurity
- 3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.6%Food insecurity
- 3.4%SNAP enrollment
- 3.7%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 11.4%Frequent mental distress
- 19.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Uniontown
Average gross rent is $3,344, 45% above the Centreville average. The voucher gap is 44.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 9.5/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.
Food insecurity runs 5.6% against 17.8% nationally. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 7 filings here across 3 tracked years.
Cost burden runs 37% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County. It sits 0.8 points below the Fairfax County average of 4.3. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
The worst year on record was 2011, when 4.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059491403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059491403?
Census tract 51059491403 in the Uniontown neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059491403?
Median gross rent is $3,344/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059491403?
2.0% of residents in tract 51059491403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,107.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059491403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 14th, minority 61th, housing 0th.
Q5
Is tract 51059491403 considered part of Uniontown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059491403 fall within Uniontown (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059491403?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 7 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 51059491403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.37% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059491403 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059491403 compare to Centreville overall?
Tract 51059491403 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Centreville at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Centreville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Centreville
Top eight tracts in Centreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Centre Heights
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Centre Heights
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
London Towne
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Uniontown
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Centre Heights
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51059490101
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
London Towne
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Willow Springs
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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