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Neighborhood · Centreville, VA

Uniontown Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 18,062 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.9/10 · range 3.5–4.5

Uniontown takes in 4 census tracts of Centreville, VA, population 18,062. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.9/10, in the Lower tier. Severe burden reaches 25%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.5/10. Cost burden runs 40% against 30.6% citywide, putting Uniontown 9.5% over its own city. Scores across the 4 constituent tracts range from 3.5 to 4.5. A 1-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here.

Court records carry 306 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts. The voucher gap is 14.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

At $2,648 a month, rents sit 15% over what the rest of Centreville commands. SNAP participation is 5.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 8.6% of adults, 9.2 points below the national rate.

Filing activity peaked in 2012 at 10.5% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 4.3% in 2016, is well off that peak.

Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Centreville, it ranks #4 by risk, the lower third.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
4 tracts · population-weighted
Uniontown vs Centreville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
40.1% +31%
Centreville: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$2,648 +15%
Centreville: $2,299
Average HH income
$179,190 +25%
Centreville: $143,704
Poverty rate
5.2% -15%
Centreville: 6.1%
Renter share
12.2% -54%
Centreville: 26.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Uniontown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.5–4.5

Why Uniontown scores 3.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.2–7.0 across tracts
5.6
Rent control risk
40% of income on rent · Range 3.2–6.7 across tracts
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.7–5.0 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
12% renter households · Range 4.0–5.9 across tracts
5.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.2 across tracts
5.1
Economic stress
5.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–2.4 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.8–9.5 across tracts
6.5
Risk score comparison

Uniontown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Uniontown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Uniontown: 3.93.9UniontownNeighborhoodParent city: 4.14.1Parent cityhost cityState: 4.34.3Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Uniontown?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1 points from 3.5 to 4.5. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Uniontown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51059491402 4.5 3,929 43% $2,621
51059491301 4.1 6,562 38% $2,259
51059491403 3.5 4,107 37% $3,344
51059491404 3.5 3,464 46% $2,590
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 16

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 19%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 31%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 9%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Uniontown

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 306Total filings (sum)
  • 5.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.5%Peak year (2012)
  • 4.64%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Uniontown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Uniontown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Uniontown?

Uniontown scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Uniontown compare to Centreville overall?

Uniontown scores 0.2 points lower than Centreville overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 40% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,648 vs $2,299.
Q3

What is the average rent in Uniontown?

Average gross rent in Uniontown is $2,648/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Uniontown residents are renters?

12% of Uniontown households are renter-occupied (vs 27% in Centreville). The neighborhood has 18,062 residents.
Q5

Is Uniontown a high social-vulnerability area?

Uniontown sits in the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Uniontown have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Uniontown is census tract 51059491402 (score 4.5/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.5 to 4.5, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Uniontown for landlords?

Uniontown carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.9/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Centreville as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Uniontown?

Uniontown has 17,593 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (44.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (25.2%), Hispanic / Latino (14.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Uniontown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Centreville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Uniontown.

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