Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Uniontown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Centreville
Tract 51059491402 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,929 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 51059491402 covers part of the Uniontown area of Centreville, VA, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,929. The main counterweight is economic stress at 2.4/10.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,376
Renter share12.4%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate9.7%
Median income$121,944
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Centreville and the region
Centroid at 38.8239, -77.4318 · click any tract to drill in
Why Uniontown scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Centreville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
9.7% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$2,621 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Centreville
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Centreville
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Centreville
5.2
How Uniontown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 48Total filings over 4 yrs
- 3.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.9%Peak (2011)
- 13Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Uniontown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.6%Food insecurity
- 6.5%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 7.2%No health insurance
- 13.0%Frequent mental distress
- 21.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Uniontown
Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10. SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally.
Court records carry 48 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10. Average gross rent is $2,621, 14% above the Centreville average.
The voucher gap is 13.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Food insecurity runs 10.6% against 17.8% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2011, when 4.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059491402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059491402?
Census tract 51059491402 in the Uniontown neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059491402?
Median gross rent is $2,621/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059491402?
9.7% of residents in tract 51059491402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,929.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059491402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 35th, minority 80th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 51059491402 considered part of Uniontown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059491402 fall within Uniontown (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059491402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 48 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059491402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.40% of renter households, peaking at 4.9% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059491402 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059491402 compare to Centreville overall?
Tract 51059491402 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Centreville at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Centreville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Centreville
Top eight tracts in Centreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Centre Heights
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Centre Heights
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
London Towne
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Centre Heights
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Willow Springs
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51059490101
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
London Towne
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Willow Springs
3.9
/ 10 · Low
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