Edgelea Eviction Risk: Lower , Centreville
Tract 51059491405 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 2,501 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
With a score of 3.5/10, tract 51059491405 in the Edgelea area of Centreville, VA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Centreville and the region
Centroid at 38.8099, -77.4271 · click any tract to drill in
Why Edgelea scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Edgelea compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1Total filings over 1 yrs
- 5.56%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.6%Peak (2011)
- 1Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 4.9%Housing insecurity
- 3.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.2%Food insecurity
- 3.1%SNAP enrollment
- 3.5%Transit barriers
- 4.2%No health insurance
- 11.1%Frequent mental distress
- 19.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Edgelea
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10. Housing insecurity runs 4.9% against 14.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 1 evictions over 1 years of observation. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10.
Against the Fairfax County average of 4.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.2% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2011 at 5.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 5.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 1% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51059491405
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059491405?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059491405?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059491405?
Is tract 51059491405 considered part of Edgelea?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059491405?
What share of households in tract 51059491405 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059491405 compare to Centreville overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Centreville
Top eight tracts in Centreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.