Centre Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Centreville
Tract 51059491202 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 1,768 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 51059491202 covers part of the Centre Heights area of Centreville, VA, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,768. 99% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Centreville and the region
Centroid at 38.8407, -77.4385 · click any tract to drill in
Why Centre Heights scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Centre Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 209Total filings over 4 yrs
- 6.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.8%Peak (2011)
- 52Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Centre Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.8%Food insecurity
- 9.2%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 10.6%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 23.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Centre Heights
20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress at 2.1/10.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10. Cost burden runs 46% here against 41.0% across Fairfax County.
The filing record is not thin: 209 evictions over 4 years of observation. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10. It sits 0.8 points above the Fairfax County average of 4.3.
Filings peaked in 2011 at 8.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.8% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 51059491202
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059491202?
What is the average rent in tract 51059491202?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059491202?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059491202?
Is tract 51059491202 considered part of Centre Heights?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059491202?
What share of households in tract 51059491202 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059491202 compare to Centreville overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Centreville
Top eight tracts in Centreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.