Centreville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 51059490101 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 5,462 · 72% of tract blocks fall in Centreville
Census tract 51059490101 covers part of Centreville, VA, and scores 4.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,462. Severe burden reaches 58%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Centreville and the region
Centroid at 38.8631, -77.4391 · click any tract to drill in
Why Centreville scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Centreville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 59
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 50%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 116Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.2%Peak (2016)
- 43Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.5%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.6%Food insecurity
- 7.2%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 7.3%No health insurance
- 13.5%Frequent mental distress
- 24.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Centreville
Cost burden runs roughly two in three here against 41.0% across Fairfax County. The clearest offset is economic stress at 2.2/10. At $1,784 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Centreville commands.
On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.7/10.
Court records carry 116 eviction filings across 4 observed years. SNAP participation runs 7.2% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 10.6% against 17.8% nationally. Filings peaked in 2016 at 7.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.7% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $143,750, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 51059490101
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059490101?
What is the average rent in tract 51059490101?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059490101?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059490101?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059490101?
What share of households in tract 51059490101 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059490101 compare to Centreville overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Centreville
Top eight tracts in Centreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.