Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
London Towne Eviction Risk: Moderate , Centreville
Tract 51059491302 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 3,803 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 4.1/10, tract 51059491302 in the London Towne area of Centreville, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,803 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 2/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,328
Renter share50.8%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$128,707
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Centreville and the region
Centroid at 38.8317, -77.4453 · click any tract to drill in
Why London Towne scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Centreville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,337 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Centreville
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Centreville
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Centreville
5.2
How London Towne compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 76Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.60%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.0%Peak (2013)
- 20Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 54% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within London Towne. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.9%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.3%Transit barriers
- 7.5%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 22.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in London Towne
Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 2.7/10.
46% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Fairfax County average of 41.0%. The filing record is not thin: 76 evictions over 4 years of observation. SNAP participation runs 7.0% against 15.2% nationally.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 7.1/10. Filings peaked in 2013 at 4.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.6% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.8/10.
It tracks the Fairfax County average of 4.3 closely. Average gross rent is $2,337, close to the Centreville average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51059491302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059491302?
Census tract 51059491302 in the London Towne neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51059491302?
Median gross rent is $2,337/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059491302?
8.1% of residents in tract 51059491302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,803.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059491302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 52th, minority 73th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 51059491302 considered part of London Towne?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51059491302 fall within London Towne (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059491302?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 76 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 51059491302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.60% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51059491302 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51059491302 compare to Centreville overall?
Tract 51059491302 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Centreville at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Centreville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Centreville
Top eight tracts in Centreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Centre Heights
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Centre Heights
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
London Towne
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Uniontown
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Centre Heights
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Willow Springs
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51059490101
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Willow Springs
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Related