Centre Heights Eviction Risk: Lower , Centreville
Tract 51059491303 · Fairfax County, VA · pop 4,145 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
How risky is the Centre Heights neighborhood of Centreville for landlords? Census tract 51059491303 scores 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 48% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 32% of renter households, a high level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,060 a month while the average household earns $121,009 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 33% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Centreville and the region
Centroid at 38.8344, -77.4383 · click any tract to drill in
Why Centre Heights scores 1.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Centre Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 27%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 60Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.2%Peak (2016)
- 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Centre Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.5%Food insecurity
- 9.7%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 12.8%No health insurance
- 14.2%Frequent mental distress
- 25.0%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Centre Heights
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Centreville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Fairfax County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 39th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51059491303
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51059491303?
What is the average rent in tract 51059491303?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51059491303?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51059491303?
Is tract 51059491303 considered part of Centre Heights?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51059491303?
What share of households in tract 51059491303 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51059491303 compare to Centreville overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Centreville
Top eight tracts in Centreville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.