Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally
Sweet Briar Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Dumbarton
Tract 51087200305 · Henrico County, VA · pop 5,014 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
How risky is Sweet Briar Park in Dumbarton for landlords? Census tract 51087200305 scores 5.9/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 64% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,623 monthly, set against $72,801 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 35% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,871
Renter share35.4%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$72,801
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
54
th percentile
Moderate
National
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dumbarton and the region
Centroid at 37.6183, -77.5337 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sweet Briar Park scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dumbarton
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,623 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dumbarton
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dumbarton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dumbarton
5.0
How Sweet Briar Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 89Total filings over 2 yrs
- 7.21%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.2%Peak (2015)
- 39Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sweet Briar Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.4%Food insecurity
- 10.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.8%Transit barriers
- 10.9%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 32.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sweet Briar Park
The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Dumbarton, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Henrico County average of 6.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 89 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 7.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.2% of renter households in 2015.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200305
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200305?
Census tract 51087200305 in the Sweet Briar Park neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200305?
Median gross rent is $1,623/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200305?
7.1% of residents in tract 51087200305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,014.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200305?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 78th, minority 63th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200305 considered part of Sweet Briar Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200305 fall within Sweet Briar Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200305?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 89 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200305 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.21% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087200305 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51087200305 compare to Dumbarton overall?
Tract 51087200305 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Dumbarton at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dumbarton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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