Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Sweet Briar Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dumbarton
Tract 51087200305 · Henrico County, VA · pop 5,014 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 51087200305 covers part of the Sweet Briar Park area of Henrico County, VA, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,014 residents. 64% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Henrico County average of 47.8%.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,871
Renter share35.4%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$72,801
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
National
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dumbarton and the region
Centroid at 37.6183, -77.5337 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sweet Briar Park scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dumbarton
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,623 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dumbarton
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dumbarton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dumbarton
5.0
How Sweet Briar Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 89Total filings over 2 yrs
- 7.21%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.2%Peak (2015)
- 39Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sweet Briar Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.4%Food insecurity
- 10.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.8%Transit barriers
- 10.9%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 32.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sweet Briar Park
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.7/10. Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.8/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 89 filings here across 2 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2015 at 7.2% of renter households.
In a typical year about 7.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #41,206 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.9/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Henrico County average of 4.3 closely.
Average gross rent runs $1,623 a month. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $72,801.
35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51087200305
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200305?
Census tract 51087200305 in the Sweet Briar Park neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51087200305?
Median gross rent is $1,623/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200305?
7.1% of residents in tract 51087200305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,014.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200305?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 78th, minority 63th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 51087200305 considered part of Sweet Briar Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51087200305 fall within Sweet Briar Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200305?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 89 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51087200305 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.21% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51087200305 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51087200305 compare to Dumbarton overall?
Tract 51087200305 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Dumbarton at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dumbarton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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