Sweet Briar Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dumbarton
Tract 51087200409 · Henrico County, VA · pop 2,998 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 51087200409 in the Sweet Briar Park area of Laurel, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 65% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Henrico County average of 47.8%.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Dumbarton and the region
Centroid at 37.6270, -77.5190 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sweet Briar Park scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Sweet Briar Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 152Total filings over 2 yrs
- 22.21%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.4%Peak (2016)
- 87Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sweet Briar Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.0%Housing insecurity
- 15.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.1%Food insecurity
- 27.1%SNAP enrollment
- 15.2%Transit barriers
- 16.7%No health insurance
- 20.9%Frequent mental distress
- 39.4%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Sweet Briar Park
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.7/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $64,311 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.6/10. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Henrico County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
Housing insecurity runs 23.0% against 14.2% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 152 filings here across 2 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Average gross rent is $1,796, 11% above the Laurel average. Filings peaked in 2016 at 25.4% of renter households.
In a typical year about 22.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51087200409
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200409?
What is the average rent in tract 51087200409?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200409?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200409?
Is tract 51087200409 considered part of Sweet Briar Park?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51087200409?
What share of households in tract 51087200409 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51087200409 compare to Dumbarton overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Dumbarton
Top eight tracts in Dumbarton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.