Sweet Briar Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Dumbarton
Tract 51087200418 · Henrico County, VA · pop 3,290 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 51087200418 sits in the Sweet Briar Park area of Dumbarton, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. It sits 3.0 points above the Henrico County average of 4.3.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Dumbarton and the region
Centroid at 37.6208, -77.5150 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sweet Briar Park scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Sweet Briar Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Sweet Briar Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.2%Housing insecurity
- 13.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.7%Food insecurity
- 22.1%SNAP enrollment
- 13.4%Transit barriers
- 15.9%No health insurance
- 20.2%Frequent mental distress
- 35.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Sweet Briar Park
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Cost burden runs 60% here against 47.8% across Henrico County. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.6/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
At $1,670 a month, rents run 18% over what the rest of Dumbarton commands. Food insecurity runs 25.7% against 17.8% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 21.2% against 14.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 3.1 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $67,031.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 51087200418
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51087200418?
What is the average rent in tract 51087200418?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51087200418?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51087200418?
Is tract 51087200418 considered part of Sweet Briar Park?
What share of households in tract 51087200418 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51087200418 compare to Dumbarton overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Dumbarton
Top eight tracts in Dumbarton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.