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Neighborhood · Dumbarton, VA

Sweet Briar Park Eviction Risk: Elevated

5 census tracts · pop 15,354 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.5/10 · range 6.1-7

Sweet Briar Park is a diverse neighborhood in Dumbarton with 5 census tracts and a population of 15,354 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 61% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 30% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,600/month sits 13% higher than the Dumbarton citywide average ($1,421).

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
5 tracts · population-weighted
Sweet Briar Park vs Dumbarton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.4% +98%
Dumbarton: 31.0%
Average gross rent
$1,600 +13%
Dumbarton: $1,421
Average HH income
$64,682 +9%
Dumbarton: $59,085
Poverty rate
12.3% -6%
Dumbarton: 13.1%
Renter share
54.6% -22%
Dumbarton: 69.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Sweet Briar Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 6.1-7

Why Sweet Briar Park scores 6.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2-3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.5-6.5 across tracts
6.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.2-8.6 across tracts
6.8
Rent control risk
61% of income on rent · Range 3.2-7.8 across tracts
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0-5.0 across tracts
3.8
Tenant organizing strength
55% renter households · Range 4.0-9.8 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0-7.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
12.3% below poverty line · Range 1.8-5.4 across tracts
3.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7-5.5 across tracts
4.4
Risk score comparison

Sweet Briar Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0-10 scale).

Sweet Briar Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Sweet Briar Park: 6.56.5Sweet Briar ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 6.26.2Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Sweet Briar Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.9 points from 6.1 to 7. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Sweet Briar Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51087200418 7 3,290 60% $1,670
51087200409 6.7 2,998 65% $1,796
51087200131 6.6 1,815 50% $1,429
51087200417 6.2 2,237 63% $1,323
51087200305 6.1 5,014 64% $1,623
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 64

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 68%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 57%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 67%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 49%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Sweet Briar Park

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 241Total filings (sum)
  • 12.82%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.4%Peak year (2016)
  • 14.02%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Sweet Briar Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Sweet Briar Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Sweet Briar Park?

Sweet Briar Park scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

Q2

How does Sweet Briar Park compare to Dumbarton overall?

Sweet Briar Park scores 0.3 points higher than Dumbarton overall (6.2/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,600 vs $1,421.

Q3

What is the average rent in Sweet Briar Park?

Average gross rent in Sweet Briar Park is $1,600/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q4

What percentage of Sweet Briar Park residents are renters?

55% of Sweet Briar Park households are renter-occupied (vs 70% in Dumbarton). The neighborhood has 15,354 residents.

Q5

Is Sweet Briar Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Sweet Briar Park sits in the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Q6

Which tracts in Sweet Briar Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Sweet Briar Park is census tract 51087200418 (score 7/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.1 to 7, a spread of 0.9 points.

Q7

How safe is Sweet Briar Park for landlords?

Sweet Briar Park carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.5/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dumbarton as a whole (6.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Sweet Briar Park?

Sweet Briar Park has 15,424 residents (Diverse Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (46.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (19.1%), Hispanic / Latino (18.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Sweet Briar Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dumbarton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Sweet Briar Park.

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