Crestwood Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Bull Run
Tract 51153901403 · Prince William County, VA · pop 7,258 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
The Crestwood Village neighborhood of Bull Run anchors census tract 51153901403, which lands at 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 63% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,902 monthly, set against $83,986 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Bull Run and the region
Centroid at 38.7707, -77.5183 · click any tract to drill in
Why Crestwood Village scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Crestwood Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 103Total filings over 1 yrs
- 6.18%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.2%Peak (2016)
- 103Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.7%Housing insecurity
- 9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.1%Food insecurity
- 12.8%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 12.9%No health insurance
- 16.8%Frequent mental distress
- 29.9%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Crestwood Village
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 3.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bull Run, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Prince William County average of 5.7 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 103 eviction filings here over 1 tracked years, with about 6.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.2% of renter households in 2016.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51153901403
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901403?
What is the average rent in tract 51153901403?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901403?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901403?
Is tract 51153901403 considered part of Crestwood Village?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901403?
What share of households in tract 51153901403 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51153901403 compare to Bull Run overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Bull Run
Top eight tracts in Bull Run ranked by composite eviction-risk score.