Skip to content
Neighborhood · Bull Run, VA

Crestwood Village Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 7,258 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5/10 · range 5–5

Crestwood Village is a one-tract neighborhood of Bull Run, VA and houses 7,258 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5/10, Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2.5/10. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.6/10.

Court records for this tract carry 103 eviction filings. On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 2.7/10.

The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 6.2% of renter households. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for roughly one in two of renter households. That places it #1 of 4 neighborhoods in Bull Run.

Judgments average 2.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. For a like-for-like read, TGM Bull Run and Zouave Hills score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Average gross rent runs $1,902, close to the Bull Run average.

One tract means one number: 5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Crestwood Village vs Bull Run How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.6% 0%
Bull Run: 50.6%
Average gross rent
$1,902 0%
Bull Run: $1,907
Average HH income
$83,986 -5%
Bull Run: $88,675
Poverty rate
14.2% -7%
Bull Run: 15.3%
Renter share
64.0% +1%
Bull Run: 63.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Crestwood Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5–5

Why Crestwood Village scores 5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
64% renter households · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Economic stress
14.2% below poverty line · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Risk score comparison

Crestwood Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Crestwood Village score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.0Crestwood VillageNeighborhood3.6Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Crestwood Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51153901403 5 7,258 51% $1,902
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 80

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 81%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 30%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 88%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Crestwood Village

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 103Total filings (sum)
  • 6.18%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.2%Peak year (2016)
  • 6.18%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Crestwood Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Crestwood Village

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Crestwood Village?

Crestwood Village scores 5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Crestwood Village compare to Bull Run overall?

Crestwood Village scores 1.4 points higher than Bull Run overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 51% citywide. Average rent: $1,902 vs $1,907.
Q3

What is the average rent in Crestwood Village?

Average gross rent in Crestwood Village is $1,902/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Crestwood Village residents are renters?

64% of Crestwood Village households are renter-occupied (vs 64% in Bull Run). The neighborhood has 7,258 residents.
Q5

Is Crestwood Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Crestwood Village sits in the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Crestwood Village for landlords?

Crestwood Village carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bull Run as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Crestwood Village?

Crestwood Village has 7,489 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (42%), White (non-Hispanic) (29.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Crestwood Village

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Bull Run

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Crestwood Village.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further