Crossroads Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Gainesville
Tract 51153901507 · Prince William County, VA · pop 2,874 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 51153901507 covers the Crossroads Village area of Gainesville in Virginia. Home to 2,874 residents, it scores 5.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 63% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 35% of renter households, a high level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,561 a month while the average household earns $156,705 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Gainesville and the region
Centroid at 38.8023, -77.6227 · click any tract to drill in
Why Crossroads Village scores 1.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Crossroads Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 12Total filings over 1 yrs
- 5.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.4%Peak (2016)
- 12Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.2%Housing insecurity
- 6.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.1%Food insecurity
- 7.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 8.4%No health insurance
- 16.0%Frequent mental distress
- 25.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Crossroads Village
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gainesville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Prince William County average of 5.7 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51153901507
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51153901507?
What is the average rent in tract 51153901507?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51153901507?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51153901507?
Is tract 51153901507 considered part of Crossroads Village?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51153901507?
What share of households in tract 51153901507 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51153901507 compare to Gainesville overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville
Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.