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Neighborhood · Gainesville, VA

Crossroads Village Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 2,874 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3.4–3.4

Crossroads Village is a one-tract neighborhood of Gainesville, VA and houses 2,874 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.4/10, in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.6/10.

The severe-burden share is 15%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The filing record is not thin: 12 evictions logged in this tract.

Average gross rent is $2,561, 12% above the Gainesville average of $2,283. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 5.4% of renter households.

Cost burden runs 35% against 31.7% citywide, putting Crossroads Village 3.2% over its own city. The voucher gap is 10.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. That places it #1 of 5 neighborhoods in Gainesville.

Judgments average 2.7% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Carolina Chase and Waterfall Village.

Rent takes 20% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.4/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Crossroads Village vs Gainesville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
34.9% +10%
Gainesville: 31.7%
Average gross rent
$2,561 +12%
Gainesville: $2,283
Average HH income
$156,705 -7%
Gainesville: $168,978
Poverty rate
6.2% +58%
Gainesville: 3.9%
Renter share
11.6% -29%
Gainesville: 16.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Crossroads Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.4–3.4

Why Crossroads Village scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts
6.6
Rent control risk
35% of income on rent · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Tenant organizing strength
12% renter households · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts
3.9
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.8–4.8 across tracts
4.8
Economic stress
6.2% below poverty line · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts
1.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Risk score comparison

Crossroads Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Crossroads Village score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.4Crossroads VillageNeighborhood3.8Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Crossroads Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51153901507 3.4 2,874 35% $2,561
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 14

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 15%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 51%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 64%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 6%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Crossroads Village

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 12Total filings (sum)
  • 5.41%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.4%Peak year (2016)
  • 5.41%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Crossroads Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Crossroads Village

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Crossroads Village?

Crossroads Village scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Crossroads Village compare to Gainesville overall?

Crossroads Village scores 0.4 points lower than Gainesville overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,561 vs $2,283.
Q3

What is the average rent in Crossroads Village?

Average gross rent in Crossroads Village is $2,561/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Crossroads Village residents are renters?

12% of Crossroads Village households are renter-occupied (vs 16% in Gainesville). The neighborhood has 2,874 residents.
Q5

Is Crossroads Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Crossroads Village sits in the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Crossroads Village for landlords?

Crossroads Village carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Gainesville as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Crossroads Village?

Crossroads Village has 2,954 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (49.8%), Hispanic / Latino (20%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (12.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Crossroads Village

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Gainesville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Crossroads Village.

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