Waterfall Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Gainesville

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.2/10. At $2,767 a month, rents run 21% over what the rest of Gainesville commands.

The voucher gap is 19.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. SNAP participation runs 5.0% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Prince William County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points.

The filing record is not thin: 7 evictions over 1 years of observation. Severe burden reaches 9%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7/10. Housing insecurity runs 6.9% against 14.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2016, when 5.2% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 5.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 22% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.5/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.