Waterfall Village Eviction Risk: Lower
1 census tracts · pop 7,727 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.1/10 · range 3.1–3.1
Waterfall Village is a one-tract neighborhood of Gainesville, VA, population 7,727. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.1/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Cost burden runs 46% against 31.7% citywide, putting Waterfall Village 14.1% over its own city.
Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.2/10. At $2,767 a month, rents sit 21% over what the rest of Gainesville commands. The voucher gap is 19.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.
The filing record is not thin: 7 evictions logged in this tract. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Running hot is supply constraint at 7/10.
Food insecurity affects 7.2% of adults, 10.6 points below the national rate. The severe-burden share is 9%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 5.2% of renter households.
Among the 5 mapped neighborhoods of Gainesville, it ranks #3 by risk, the middle third. Judgments average 3.7% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
For a like-for-like read, Saranac and Amberleigh Station score within a fraction of it.
Because the boundary contains one tract, 3.1/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk
Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Risk heat across Waterfall Village and the region
Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.1–3.1
Why Waterfall Village scores 3.1
9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendlyWaterfall Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.
Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).
1 tracts in Waterfall Village
Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.
| Tract↕ | Score↕ | Pop↕ | % over 30% on rent↕ | Average rent↕ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51153901509 | 3.1 | 7,727 | 46% | $2,767 |
CDC SVI percentile: 6
Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.
Court-record eviction history in Waterfall Village
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 7Total filings (sum)
- 5.19%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.2%Peak year (2016)
- 5.19%Latest filed (2016)
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Waterfall Village
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
- 6.9%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility shutoff threat
- 7.2%Food insecurity
- 5.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%No health insurance
- 24.0%Any disability
About Waterfall Village
How does Waterfall Village compare to Gainesville overall?
What is the average rent in Waterfall Village?
What percentage of Waterfall Village residents are renters?
Is Waterfall Village a high social-vulnerability area?
How safe is Waterfall Village for landlords?
What is the demographic breakdown of Waterfall Village?
Other neighborhoods near Waterfall Village
Other neighborhoods inside Gainesville
Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Waterfall Village.