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Census Tract · Ranked #83,884 of 84,120 nationally

Stafford Courthouse Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 51179010105 · Stafford County, VA · pop 8,933 · 16% of tract blocks fall in Stafford Courthouse

Stafford Courthouse in Stafford County anchors census tract 51179010105, which lands at 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 59th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,209 a month while the average household earns $155,060 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 7% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,602
Renter share12.3%
SVI overall0.05
Poverty rate1.1%
Median income$155,060

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Stafford Courthouse
Very Low
Within county
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 32 tracts In Stafford County
Very Low
Within state
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#2,104 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
National
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#83,884 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Stafford Courthouse and the region

Centroid at 38.4207, -77.3747 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stafford Courthouse scores 1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Stafford Courthouse
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
1.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,209 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Stafford Courthouse
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Stafford Courthouse
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Stafford Courthouse
3.4

How Stafford Courthouse compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Stafford Courthouse risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.01.0This tracttract 010105Stafford Courthous: 3.03.0Stafford Courthousparent cityCounty: 1.81.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 5

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 293Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 38.28%Avg annual filing rate
  • 37.2%Peak (2016)
  • 152Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stafford Courthouse

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Stafford Courthouse, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Stafford County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 5th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51179010105

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51179010105?

Census tract 51179010105 in Stafford Courthouse scores 1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51179010105?

Median gross rent is $2,209/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51179010105?

1.1% of residents in tract 51179010105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,933.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51179010105?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 5th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 23th, minority 70th, housing 0th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51179010105?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 293 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51179010105 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 38.28% of renter households, peaking at 37.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 51179010105 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51179010105 compare to Stafford Courthouse overall?

Tract 51179010105 scores 1/10, lower than the parent city of Stafford Courthouse at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stafford Courthouse; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Stafford Courthouse

Top eight tracts in Stafford Courthouse ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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