Stafford Courthouse Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 51179010106 · Stafford County, VA · pop 3,758 · 20% of tract blocks fall in Stafford Courthouse
Eviction risk in Stafford Courthouse in Stafford County centers on tract 51179010106, which scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,758 residents. That is riskier than about 59% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 41% of renter households, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,183 a month against an average household income of $159,583 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 26% of occupied homes.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Stafford Courthouse and the region
Centroid at 38.3790, -77.3641 · click any tract to drill in
Why Stafford Courthouse scores 1.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Stafford Courthouse compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 13%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 21Total filings over 2 yrs
- 6.44%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.1%Peak (2016)
- 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.4%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.6%Food insecurity
- 5.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 15.2%Frequent mental distress
- 25.5%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Stafford Courthouse
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Stafford Courthouse, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Stafford County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 21 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 6.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.1% of renter households in 2016.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
About tract 51179010106
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51179010106?
What is the average rent in tract 51179010106?
What is the poverty rate in tract 51179010106?
How socially vulnerable is tract 51179010106?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51179010106?
What share of households in tract 51179010106 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 51179010106 compare to Stafford Courthouse overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Stafford Courthouse
Top eight tracts in Stafford Courthouse ranked by composite eviction-risk score.