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Census Tract · Ranked #82,639 of 84,120 nationally

Stafford Courthouse Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 51179010106 · Stafford County, VA · pop 3,758 · 20% of tract blocks fall in Stafford Courthouse

Eviction risk in Stafford Courthouse in Stafford County centers on tract 51179010106, which scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,758 residents. That is riskier than about 59% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 41% of renter households, a severe level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,183 a month against an average household income of $159,583 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 26% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 15% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,345
Renter share26.4%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate0.8%
Median income$159,583

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Stafford Courthouse
Very High
Within county
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 32 tracts In Stafford County
Very Low
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#1,987 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
National
2 th percentile
Rank, 2nd percentileLowHigh
#82,639 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Stafford Courthouse and the region

Centroid at 38.3790, -77.3641 · click any tract to drill in

Why Stafford Courthouse scores 1.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Stafford Courthouse
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
0.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,183 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Stafford Courthouse
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Stafford Courthouse
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Stafford Courthouse
3.4

How Stafford Courthouse compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Stafford Courthouse risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.11.1This tracttract 010106Stafford Courthous: 3.03.0Stafford Courthousparent cityCounty: 1.81.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 21Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 6.44%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.1%Peak (2016)
  • 11Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Stafford Courthouse

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Stafford Courthouse, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Stafford County average of 5.4 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 21 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 6.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.1% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51179010106

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51179010106?

Census tract 51179010106 in Stafford Courthouse scores 1.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51179010106?

Median gross rent is $2,183/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51179010106?

0.8% of residents in tract 51179010106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,758.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51179010106?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 11th, minority 42th, housing 46th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51179010106?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 21 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51179010106 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.44% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 51179010106 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51179010106 compare to Stafford Courthouse overall?

Tract 51179010106 scores 1.1/10, lower than the parent city of Stafford Courthouse at 3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Stafford Courthouse; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Stafford Courthouse

Top eight tracts in Stafford Courthouse ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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