Starmont Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Danville

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.2/10. 24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against Danville City at 42.0%, about half of renters here are cost-burdened. At $689 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Danville commands.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Housing insecurity runs 23.3% against 14.2% nationally. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 6.9/10.

It sits 0.7 points above the Danville City average of 4.5. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $29,241. 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.