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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

Starmont Forest Eviction Risk: Elevated , Danville

Tract 51590000200 · Danville city, VA · pop 3,480 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 51590000200 belongs to the Starmont Forest neighborhood of Danville, Virginia. It is home to 3,480 residents and scores 6.9/10, an elevated reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 93% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $689 a month while the average household earns $29,241 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 27% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,639
Renter share54.2%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate27.1%
Median income$29,241

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Starmont Forest
Moderate
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 16 tracts In Danville
High
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 16 tracts In Danville city
Elevated
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#58 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Danville and the region

Centroid at 36.6113, -79.4043 · click any tract to drill in

Why Starmont Forest scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Danville
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
27.1% poverty · this tract
6.8
Supply constraint
$689 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Danville
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Danville
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Danville
6.9

How Starmont Forest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Starmont Forest risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 000200Danville: 3.73.7Danvilleparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Starmont Forest

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Danville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Danville City County average of 6.6 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 23.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 18.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51590000200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51590000200?

Census tract 51590000200 in the Starmont Forest neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51590000200?

Median gross rent is $689/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51590000200?

27.1% of residents in tract 51590000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,480.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51590000200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 95th, minority 71th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 51590000200 considered part of Starmont Forest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51590000200 fall within Starmont Forest (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51590000200 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51590000200 compare to Danville overall?

Tract 51590000200 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Danville at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Danville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Danville

Top eight tracts in Danville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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