Starmont Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. SNAP participation is 37.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

24% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 27%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Disability prevalence reaches 49.0% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. At $689 a month, rents sit 18% under what the rest of Danville commands.

Among the 15 mapped neighborhoods of Danville, it ranks #4 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Glenwood and Holbrook-Ross score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $29,241. 54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 5.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.