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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Pinetag Eviction Risk: Moderate , Danville

Tract 51590000900 · Danville city, VA · pop 3,910 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Eviction risk in Pinetag in Danville centers on tract 51590000900, which scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 3,910 residents. It lands near the 79th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 28% of renter households, a moderate level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $891 monthly, set against $50,247 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 54% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 39% Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,589
Renter share54.2%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$50,247

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Pinetag
Moderate
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 16 tracts In Danville
Low
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 16 tracts In Danville city
Low
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#206 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Danville and the region

Centroid at 36.5537, -79.4541 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pinetag scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Danville
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$891 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Danville
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Danville
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Danville
6.9

How Pinetag compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Pinetag risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 000900Danville: 3.73.7Danvilleparent cityCounty: 5.55.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pinetag

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Danville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Danville City County average of 6.6 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 82nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 51590000900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51590000900?

Census tract 51590000900 in the Pinetag neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51590000900?

Median gross rent is $891/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51590000900?

20.7% of residents in tract 51590000900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,910.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51590000900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 92th, minority 67th, housing 42th.
Q5

Is tract 51590000900 considered part of Pinetag?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51590000900 fall within Pinetag (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51590000900 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51590000900 compare to Danville overall?

Tract 51590000900 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Danville at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Danville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Danville

Top eight tracts in Danville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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