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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Aberdeen Gardens Eviction Risk: Moderate , Hampton

Tract 51650010400 · Hampton city, VA · pop 6,005 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 51650010400 (Aberdeen Gardens in Hampton, Virginia) comes in at $1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 37% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

62% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,252 a month against an average household income of $51,241 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 14% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,760
Renter share36.3%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate14.0%
Median income$51,241

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In Aberdeen Gardens
High
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#14 of 36 tracts In Hampton
Elevated
Within county
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#14 of 36 tracts In Hampton city
Elevated
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#350 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Hampton and the region

Centroid at 37.0266, -76.4107 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aberdeen Gardens scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Hampton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
14.0% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,252 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hampton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hampton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hampton
4.5

How Aberdeen Gardens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Aberdeen Gardens risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 010400Hampton: 4.34.3Hamptonparent cityCounty: 4.34.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,235Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 18.22%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.2%Peak (2016)
  • 224Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 516500104002011: 182 filings (15.69/100 renter HHs)2012: 187 filings (16.12/100 renter HHs)2013: 220 filings (18.97/100 renter HHs)2014: 222 filings (19.14/100 renter HHs)2015: 200 filings (17.24/100 renter HHs)2016: 224 filings (22.18/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 23% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Aberdeen Gardens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aberdeen Gardens

What moves this score most is housing court bias at 4.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Hampton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hampton City County average of 4.9 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 15.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51650010400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51650010400?

Census tract 51650010400 in the Aberdeen Gardens neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51650010400?

Median gross rent is $1,252/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51650010400?

14.0% of residents in tract 51650010400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,005.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51650010400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 94th, minority 87th, housing 31th.
Q5

Is tract 51650010400 considered part of Aberdeen Gardens?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51650010400 fall within Aberdeen Gardens (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51650010400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,235 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51650010400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.22% of renter households, peaking at 22.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51650010400 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51650010400 compare to Hampton overall?

Tract 51650010400 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Hampton at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hampton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Hampton

Top eight tracts in Hampton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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