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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Aberdeen Gardens Eviction Risk: Lower , Hampton

Tract 51650010312 · Hampton city, VA · pop 3,593 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Census tract 51650010312 covers part of the Aberdeen Gardens area of Hampton, VA, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,593 residents. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 5% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,441
Renter share10.2%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$93,161

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Aberdeen Gardens
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#36 of 36 tracts In Hampton
Very Low
Within county
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 36 tracts In Hampton city
Very Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,798 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Hampton and the region

Centroid at 37.0456, -76.4192 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aberdeen Gardens scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Hampton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,948 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hampton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hampton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hampton
4.5

How Aberdeen Gardens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Aberdeen Gardens risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0103123.9Hamptonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 226Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 12.20%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.8%Peak (2011)
  • 26Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 51650010312
Filings dropped 42% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Aberdeen Gardens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aberdeen Gardens

The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. At $1,948 a month, rents run 37% over what the rest of Hampton commands.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Hampton City average of 4.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 226 filings here across 6 tracked years.

The voucher gap is 14.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.1/10.

The worst year on record was 2011, when 14.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 12.2% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 51650010312

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51650010312?

Census tract 51650010312 in the Aberdeen Gardens neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51650010312?

Median gross rent is $1,948/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51650010312?

3.0% of residents in tract 51650010312 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,593.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51650010312?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 66th, minority 62th, housing 5th.
Q5

Is tract 51650010312 considered part of Aberdeen Gardens?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51650010312 fall within Aberdeen Gardens (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51650010312?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 226 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 51650010312 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.20% of renter households, peaking at 14.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51650010312 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51650010312 compare to Hampton overall?

Tract 51650010312 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Hampton at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hampton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Hampton

Top eight tracts in Hampton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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