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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Aberdeen Gardens Eviction Risk: Moderate , Hampton

Tract 51650010504 · Hampton city, VA · pop 4,350 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 51650010504 covers part of the Aberdeen Gardens area of Hampton, VA, and scores 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,350. The severe-burden share is 43%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 18% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,877
Renter share53.2%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate23.1%
Median income$45,740

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Aberdeen Gardens
Very High
Within parent city
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 36 tracts In Hampton
High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 36 tracts In Hampton city
Very High
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#370 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Hampton and the region

Centroid at 37.0224, -76.3844 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aberdeen Gardens scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Hampton
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.1
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
23.1% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$1,146 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Hampton
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Hampton
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Hampton
4.5

How Aberdeen Gardens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Aberdeen Gardens risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 0105043.9Hamptonparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Aberdeen Gardens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aberdeen Gardens

66% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Hampton City average of 50.4%. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

It sits 1.3 points above the Hampton City average of 4.0. At $1,146 a month, rents run 20% under what the rest of Hampton commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.1/10. Housing insecurity runs 22.1% against 14.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $45,740.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51650010504

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51650010504?

Census tract 51650010504 in the Aberdeen Gardens neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51650010504?

Median gross rent is $1,146/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51650010504?

23.1% of residents in tract 51650010504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,350.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51650010504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 92th, minority 90th, housing 78th.
Q5

Is tract 51650010504 considered part of Aberdeen Gardens?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51650010504 fall within Aberdeen Gardens (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51650010504 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51650010504 compare to Hampton overall?

Tract 51650010504 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Hampton at 3.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Hampton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Hampton

Top eight tracts in Hampton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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