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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Preston Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Harrisonburg

Tract 51660000204 · Harrisonburg city, VA · pop 4,935 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 51660000204 belongs to the Preston Heights area of Harrisonburg, Virginia. It is home to 4,935 residents and scores $1/10, a moderate reading for landlords. It lands near the 37th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

35% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,259 a month against an average household income of $68,998 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 59% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 39% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,469
Renter share59.4%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate26.2%
Median income$68,998

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Preston Heights
Very High
Within parent city
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 11 tracts In Harrisonburg
High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 11 tracts In Harrisonburg city
High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#145 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Harrisonburg and the region

Centroid at 38.4429, -78.8617 · click any tract to drill in

Why Preston Heights scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Harrisonburg
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
26.2% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,259 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisonburg
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisonburg
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisonburg
4.5

How Preston Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Preston Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.45.4This tracttract 000204Harrisonburg: 4.34.3Harrisonburgparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Preston Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Preston Heights

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 6.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Harrisonburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Harrisonburg City County average of 5.0 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51660000204

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51660000204?

Census tract 51660000204 in the Preston Heights neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51660000204?

Median gross rent is $1,259/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51660000204?

26.2% of residents in tract 51660000204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,935.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51660000204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 56th, minority 66th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 51660000204 considered part of Preston Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51660000204 fall within Preston Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51660000204 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51660000204 compare to Harrisonburg overall?

Tract 51660000204 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Harrisonburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisonburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Harrisonburg

Top eight tracts in Harrisonburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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