Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Preston Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Harrisonburg
Tract 51660000101 · Harrisonburg city, VA · pop 4,514 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 4.5/10, tract 51660000101 in the Preston Heights area of Harrisonburg, VA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,514. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units1,978
Renter share54.3%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$59,012
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Harrisonburg and the region
Centroid at 38.4543, -78.8557 · click any tract to drill in
Why Preston Heights scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Harrisonburg
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,054 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisonburg
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisonburg
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisonburg
4.5
How Preston Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 72%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Preston Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.0%Housing insecurity
- 12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.1%Food insecurity
- 21.0%SNAP enrollment
- 12.7%Transit barriers
- 17.2%No health insurance
- 19.9%Frequent mental distress
- 35.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Preston Heights
Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.6/10. roughly one in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Harrisonburg City average of 40.7%. Average gross rent is $1,054, 11% below the Harrisonburg average.
On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Harrisonburg rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.3/10.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Harrisonburg City average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $59,012.
54% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51660000101
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51660000101?
Census tract 51660000101 in the Preston Heights neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51660000101?
Median gross rent is $1,054/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51660000101?
21.9% of residents in tract 51660000101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,514.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51660000101?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 80th, minority 72th, housing 88th.
Q5
Is tract 51660000101 considered part of Preston Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51660000101 fall within Preston Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 51660000101 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 51660000101 compare to Harrisonburg overall?
Tract 51660000101 scores 4.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Harrisonburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisonburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Harrisonburg
Top eight tracts in Harrisonburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ridge Area
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Skyline Area
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Preston Heights
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Ridge Area
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Park View
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Park View
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51660000203
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Ridge Area
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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