Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Ridge Area Eviction Risk: Lower , Harrisonburg
Tract 51660000206 · Harrisonburg city, VA · pop 4,980 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 51660000206 sits in the Ridge Area area of Harrisonburg eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. It is home to 4,980 residents. Severe burden reaches 50%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units27
Renter share14.8%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate31.4%
Median income$141,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Within county
20
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Harrisonburg and the region
Centroid at 38.4358, -78.8704 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ridge Area scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Harrisonburg
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
31.4% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisonburg
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisonburg
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisonburg
4.5
How Ridge Area compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 0%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ridge Area. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.3%Food insecurity
- 11.5%SNAP enrollment
- 12.8%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 28.5%Frequent mental distress
- 32.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ridge Area
The poverty rate is 31%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. Cost burden runs roughly one in two here against 40.7% across Harrisonburg City.
Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 7.9/10. Against the Harrisonburg City average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Harrisonburg rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.
Social vulnerability reads 1.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the VA average is 4.2, so this tract runs 0.8 points cooler.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51660000206
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51660000206?
Census tract 51660000206 in the Ridge Area neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 51660000206?
31.4% of residents in tract 51660000206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,980.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 51660000206?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 0th, minority 37th, housing 8th.
Q4
Is tract 51660000206 considered part of Ridge Area?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51660000206 fall within Ridge Area (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q5
What share of households in tract 51660000206 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 51660000206 compare to Harrisonburg overall?
Tract 51660000206 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Harrisonburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisonburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Harrisonburg
Top eight tracts in Harrisonburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Ridge Area
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Skyline Area
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Preston Heights
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Preston Heights
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Ridge Area
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Park View
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
Park View
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · VA
51660000203
4
/ 10 · Moderate
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