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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Ridge Area Eviction Risk: Moderate , Harrisonburg

Tract 51660000206 · Harrisonburg city, VA · pop 4,980 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

How risky is Ridge Area in Harrisonburg for landlords? Census tract 51660000206 scores 5.7/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 63% of US census tracts.

About 50% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 50% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $141,250 a year. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 7% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units27
Renter share14.8%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate31.4%
Median income$141,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Ridge Area
Very Low
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 11 tracts In Harrisonburg
Low
Within county
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 11 tracts In Harrisonburg city
Low
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#387 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Harrisonburg and the region

Centroid at 38.4358, -78.8704 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ridge Area scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Harrisonburg
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
31.4% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisonburg
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisonburg
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisonburg
4.5

How Ridge Area compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ridge Area risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 000206Harrisonburg: 4.34.3Harrisonburgparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ridge Area. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ridge Area

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 7.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Harrisonburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harrisonburg City County average of 5.0 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 2nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51660000206

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51660000206?

Census tract 51660000206 in the Ridge Area neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 51660000206?

31.4% of residents in tract 51660000206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,980.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 51660000206?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 0th, minority 37th, housing 8th.
Q4

Is tract 51660000206 considered part of Ridge Area?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51660000206 fall within Ridge Area (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 51660000206 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 51660000206 compare to Harrisonburg overall?

Tract 51660000206 scores 4.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Harrisonburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisonburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Harrisonburg

Top eight tracts in Harrisonburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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