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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

Ridge Area Eviction Risk: Elevated , Harrisonburg

Tract 51660000207 · Harrisonburg city, VA · pop 6,101 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 51660000207 covers the Ridge Area area of Harrisonburg, home to 6,101 residents. For landlords it grades 5.9/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 70% of US census tracts.

About 66% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 51% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,262 a month against an average household income of $30,417 a year, roughly 50% of income at the averages. Renters make up 95% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 62% Stable renters 32% Owners 6%
Tract context
Occupied units1,677
Renter share94.6%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate68.2%
Median income$30,417

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Ridge Area
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 11 tracts In Harrisonburg
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 11 tracts In Harrisonburg city
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Harrisonburg and the region

Centroid at 38.4266, -78.8679 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ridge Area scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Harrisonburg
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
68.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,262 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Harrisonburg
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Harrisonburg
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Harrisonburg
4.5

How Ridge Area compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ridge Area risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 000207Harrisonburg: 4.34.3Harrisonburgparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ridge Area. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ridge Area

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Harrisonburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harrisonburg City County average of 5.0 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 21.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51660000207

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51660000207?

Census tract 51660000207 in the Ridge Area neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51660000207?

Median gross rent is $1,262/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51660000207?

68.2% of residents in tract 51660000207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,101.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51660000207?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 10th, minority 48th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 51660000207 considered part of Ridge Area?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51660000207 fall within Ridge Area (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 51660000207 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 51660000207 compare to Harrisonburg overall?

Tract 51660000207 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Harrisonburg at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Harrisonburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Harrisonburg

Top eight tracts in Harrisonburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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