Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally
Harbor Vista Eviction Risk: Elevated , Norfolk
Tract 51710005000 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 3,100 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 51710005000, home to 3,100 residents in Harbor Vista in Norfolk, scores 5.9/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
64% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,271 a month against an average household income of $45,577 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,332
Renter share61.7%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate38.0%
Median income$45,577
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
90
th percentile
High
Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.8333, -76.2836 · click any tract to drill in
Why Harbor Vista scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
38.0% poverty · this tract
9.5
Supply constraint
$1,271 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Harbor Vista compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 60
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 5%Grade C
- 40%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 416Total filings over 2 yrs
- 34.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 35.1%Peak (2016)
- 210Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 30.6%Housing insecurity
- 24.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 40.8%Food insecurity
- 44.9%SNAP enrollment
- 21.2%Transit barriers
- 14.3%No health insurance
- 21.5%Frequent mental distress
- 46.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Harbor Vista
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and above the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 416 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 34.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 35.1% of renter households in 2016.
In CDC survey modeling, about 30.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 24.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710005000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710005000?
Census tract 51710005000 in the Harbor Vista neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710005000?
Median gross rent is $1,271/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710005000?
38.0% of residents in tract 51710005000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,100.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710005000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 43th, minority 96th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 51710005000 considered part of Harbor Vista?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710005000 fall within Harbor Vista (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710005000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 416 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710005000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 34.93% of renter households, peaking at 35.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710005000 struggle to pay rent?
About 30.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710005000 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710005000 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51710005000 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 40% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Campostella Heights
6.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Edgewater
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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