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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Miller Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk

Tract 51710005701 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 4,073 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Census tract 51710005701 covers part of the Miller Heights area of Norfolk, VA, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,073. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 23% Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units1,607
Renter share61.5%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate36.5%
Median income$40,291

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Miller Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#8 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
Very High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#251 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.9109, -76.2553 · click any tract to drill in

Why Miller Heights scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
36.5% poverty · this tract
9.1
Supply constraint
$980 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How Miller Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Miller Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 0057014.1Norfolkparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,224Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 45.05%Avg annual filing rate
  • 55.5%Peak (2011)
  • 436Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Miller Heights

SNAP participation runs 39.0% against 15.2% nationally. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.1/10.

Against Norfolk City at 50.4%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened. The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $980, 26% below the Norfolk average.

Housing insecurity runs 27.4% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Norfolk City average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

The filing record is not thin: 1,224 evictions over 2 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2011, when 55.5% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 45.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.4/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710005701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710005701?

Census tract 51710005701 in the Miller Heights neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710005701?

Median gross rent is $980/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710005701?

36.5% of residents in tract 51710005701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,073.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710005701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 87th, minority 87th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 51710005701 considered part of Miller Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710005701 fall within Miller Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710005701?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,224 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710005701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 45.05% of renter households, peaking at 55.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710005701 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710005701 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710005701 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51710005701 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 8% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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