Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Estabrook Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Norfolk
Tract 51710006100 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 8,469 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 51710006100 sits in the Estabrook Park area of Norfolk eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.7/10. Population here is 8,469. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units3,457
Renter share32.0%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate16.9%
Median income$83,318
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.8746, -76.2425 · click any tract to drill in
Why Estabrook Park scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
16.9% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,172 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Estabrook Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 17%Grade C
- 48%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 893Total filings over 2 yrs
- 34.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 37.6%Peak (2016)
- 469Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.5%Housing insecurity
- 12.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.5%Food insecurity
- 20.3%SNAP enrollment
- 12.2%Transit barriers
- 11.8%No health insurance
- 19.3%Frequent mental distress
- 35.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Estabrook Park
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.9/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.3/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 893 filings here across 2 tracked years. Against Norfolk City at 50.4%, 55% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $1,172 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Norfolk commands.
Filings peaked in 2016 at 37.6% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 34.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 35% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $83,318, annual rent is just 17%.
It tracks the Norfolk City average of 4.1 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710006100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710006100?
Census tract 51710006100 in the Estabrook Park neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710006100?
Median gross rent is $1,172/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710006100?
16.9% of residents in tract 51710006100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,469.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710006100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 73th, minority 82th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 51710006100 considered part of Estabrook Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710006100 fall within Estabrook Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710006100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 893 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710006100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 34.45% of renter households, peaking at 37.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710006100 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710006100 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710006100 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 51710006100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 48% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Willard Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Denby Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Harbor Vista
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Campostella Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Edgewater
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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