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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Estabrook Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Norfolk

Tract 51710006100 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 8,469 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 51710006100 sits in the Estabrook Park neighborhood of Norfolk eviction risk, Virginia eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. That is riskier than about 48% of US census tracts.

55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,172 monthly, set against $83,318 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 14% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units3,457
Renter share32.0%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate16.9%
Median income$83,318

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Estabrook Park
Moderate
Within parent city
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#46 of 80 tracts In Norfolk
Moderate
Within county
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#49 of 80 tracts In Norfolk city
Low
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#453 of 2,186 tracts In Virginia
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Norfolk and the region

Centroid at 36.8746, -76.2425 · click any tract to drill in

Why Estabrook Park scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
16.9% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,172 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0

How Estabrook Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Estabrook Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 006100Norfolk: 4.54.5Norfolkparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.03.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 893Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 34.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 37.6%Peak (2016)
  • 469Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Estabrook Park

The heaviest input here is housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Norfolk City County average of 5.1 and in line with the Virginia statewide average of 5.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 48% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 51710006100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710006100?

Census tract 51710006100 in the Estabrook Park neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 51710006100?

Median gross rent is $1,172/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 51710006100?

16.9% of residents in tract 51710006100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,469.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 51710006100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 73th, minority 82th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 51710006100 considered part of Estabrook Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710006100 fall within Estabrook Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710006100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 893 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710006100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 34.45% of renter households, peaking at 37.6% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 51710006100 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 51710006100 compare to Norfolk overall?

Tract 51710006100 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Norfolk at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 51710006100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 48% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk

Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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