Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Bel-Aire Eviction Risk: Lower , Norfolk
Tract 51710006601 · Norfolk city, VA · pop 657 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 51710006601 sits in the Bel-Aire area of Norfolk eviction risk, VA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. At $2,120 a month, rents run 60% over what the rest of Norfolk commands.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units280
Renter share53.9%
SVI overall0.15
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$106,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
18
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Norfolk and the region
Centroid at 36.9225, -76.2303 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bel-Aire scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Norfolk
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Virginia legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,120 rent vs county FMR
7.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Norfolk
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Norfolk
5.0
How Bel-Aire compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 15
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 3%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 60Total filings over 2 yrs
- 30.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 29.2%Peak (2011)
- 18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.9%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.6%Food insecurity
- 9.7%SNAP enrollment
- 7.4%Transit barriers
- 8.2%No health insurance
- 17.5%Frequent mental distress
- 27.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bel-Aire
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 25.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Severe burden reaches 12%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
It sits 1.1 points below the Norfolk City average of 4.1. On the high side, supply constraint reads 7.5/10. 45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Norfolk City average of 50.4%.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 60 filings here across 2 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2011 at 29.2% of renter households.
In a typical year about 30.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 51710006601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51710006601?
Census tract 51710006601 in the Bel-Aire neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 51710006601?
Median gross rent is $2,120/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 51710006601?
3.4% of residents in tract 51710006601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 657.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 51710006601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 34th, minority 43th, housing 3th.
Q5
Is tract 51710006601 considered part of Bel-Aire?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51710006601 fall within Bel-Aire (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51710006601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 60 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51710006601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 30.10% of renter households, peaking at 29.2% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 51710006601 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 51710006601 compare to Norfolk overall?
Tract 51710006601 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Norfolk at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Norfolk eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Norfolk
Top eight tracts in Norfolk ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · VA
Miller Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Edgewater
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Huntersville
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Colonial Place
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Brambleton
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Ballentine Place
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · VA
Willard Park
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
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