Neighborhood · Norfolk, VA

Bel-Aire Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 657 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10 · range 3.5–3.5

Bel-Aire is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Norfolk with 1 census tract and a population of 657 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 45% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 12% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,120/month sits 60% higher than the Norfolk citywide average ($1,321).

Risk score

3.5

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Bel-Aire vs Norfolk How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

45.0% +39%

Norfolk: 32.3%

Average gross rent

$2,120 +60%

Norfolk: $1,321

Average HH income

$106,750 +67%

Norfolk: $64,017

Poverty rate

3.4% -80%

Norfolk: 17.3%

Renter share

53.9% +0%

Norfolk: 53.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bel-Aire and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.5–3.5

Why Bel-Aire scores 3.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts

7.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Rent control risk

45% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts

4.5

Tenant organizing strength

54% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Economic stress

3.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Risk score comparison

Bel-Aire vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Bel-Aire

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
51710006601	3.5	657	45%	$2,120

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 15

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 38%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 35%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 43%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 3%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bel-Aire

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

60Total filings (sum)
30.10%Avg annual filing rate
29.2%Peak year (2011)
31.03%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bel-Aire

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

10.9%Housing insecurity
7.3%Utility shutoff threat
11.6%Food insecurity
9.7%SNAP enrollment
8.2%No health insurance
27.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Bel-Aire

What is the eviction-risk score for Bel-Aire?

Bel-Aire scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Bel-Aire compare to Norfolk overall?

Bel-Aire scores 1.0 points lower than Norfolk overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,120 vs $1,321.

What is the average rent in Bel-Aire?

Average gross rent in Bel-Aire is $2,120/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Bel-Aire residents are renters?

54% of Bel-Aire households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Norfolk). The neighborhood has 657 residents.

Is Bel-Aire a high social-vulnerability area?

Bel-Aire sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Bel-Aire for landlords?

Bel-Aire carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Norfolk as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Bel-Aire?

Bel-Aire has 966 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (68.2%), Hispanic / Latino (14.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bel-Aire

4.2 Tarrallton 3 tracts · pop 7,376 4.5 Bay View Beach 2 tracts · pop 6,872 3.9 Camellia Shores 3 tracts · pop 9,107 4.1 Lakeland 2 tracts · pop 2,644 4 Norview 2 tracts · pop 6,683 4.3 Sussex 2 tracts · pop 4,395

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Norfolk

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bel-Aire.

3.5 East Haven 1 tracts · pop 1,872 3.6 Lakeland 2 tracts · pop 2,644 3.4 Brookfield Park 1 tracts · pop 4,032 3.7 Meadowbrook Forest 1 tracts · pop 3,769 3.7 Larchmont 1 tracts · pop 2,121 3.7 Crawford Bay 1 tracts · pop 5,684

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