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Neighborhood · Norfolk, VA

Bel-Aire Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 657 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3/10 · range 3–3

Bel-Aire is a one-tract neighborhood of Norfolk, VA and houses 657 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 3/10, in the Lower tier. At $2,120 a month, rents sit 60% over what the rest of Norfolk commands.

Cost burden runs 45% against 32.3% citywide, putting Bel-Aire 12.7% over its own city. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10.

The voucher gap is 25.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10.

The severe-burden share is 12%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Court records for this tract carry 60 eviction filings. Running hot is supply constraint at 7.5/10.

Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 29.2% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 31.0% in 2016 against a 29.2% peak. That places it #44 of 55 neighborhoods in Norfolk.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3
Lower
1 tracts · population-weighted
Bel-Aire vs Norfolk How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
45.0% +39%
Norfolk: 32.3%
Average gross rent
$2,120 +60%
Norfolk: $1,321
Average HH income
$106,750 +67%
Norfolk: $64,017
Poverty rate
3.4% -80%
Norfolk: 17.3%
Renter share
53.9% +0%
Norfolk: 53.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bel-Aire and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3–3

Why Bel-Aire scores 3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
54% renter households · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Economic stress
3.4% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Risk score comparison

Bel-Aire vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bel-Aire score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.0Bel-AireNeighborhood4.1Parent cityhost city4.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Bel-Aire

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
51710006601 3 657 45% $2,120
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 15

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 38%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 35%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 43%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 3%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bel-Aire

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 60Total filings (sum)
  • 30.10%Avg annual filing rate
  • 29.2%Peak year (2011)
  • 31.03%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bel-Aire

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bel-Aire

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bel-Aire?

Bel-Aire scores 3/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bel-Aire compare to Norfolk overall?

Bel-Aire scores 1.1 points lower than Norfolk overall (4.1/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $2,120 vs $1,321.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bel-Aire?

Average gross rent in Bel-Aire is $2,120/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bel-Aire residents are renters?

54% of Bel-Aire households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Norfolk). The neighborhood has 657 residents.
Q5

Is Bel-Aire a high social-vulnerability area?

Bel-Aire sits in the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Bel-Aire for landlords?

Bel-Aire carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Norfolk as a whole (4.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Bel-Aire?

Bel-Aire has 966 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (68.2%), Hispanic / Latino (14.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (9.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bel-Aire

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Norfolk

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bel-Aire.

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